Red Flag Warnings Blanket Five Northern Rockies and Plains States
Critical fire weather triggered Red Flag Warnings across Montana, Wyoming, Idaho, and the Dakotas on Sept. 10, capping an active season in the region.
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In 2025, fire departments serving Rugby responded to 18 fire and hazmat incidents . Here's the full picture.
Grass fire lead by count. Building fires lead by dollars. Together the top five categories make up about 89% of all calls.
Jan peaks. Aug dips. Watch for the typical fall climb starting in October.
118 incidents 2021–2025. Peak year was 2021.
| Year | Incidents | YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 40 | — | |
| 2022 | 17 | -57.5% | |
| 2023 | 22 | +29.4% | |
| 2024 | 21 | -4.5% | |
| 2025 | 18 | -14.3% |
For the 0 building fires Rugby departments responded to in 2025, here's how they were classified once investigators were finished.
NFIRS Area of Origin (AREA_ORIG) for the 97 building fires investigators classified across 2021–2025. The room or location where ignition occurred — kitchens, bedrooms, exterior, vehicle areas — tells you where to focus prevention.
| # | Area of origin | Count | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Open area - outside; included are farmland, field | 22 | 22.7% | |
| 2 | Engine area, running gear, wheel area | 15 | 15.5% | |
| 3 | Other | 13 | 13.4% | |
| 4 | Vehicle area, other | 7 | 7.2% | |
| 5 | Outside area, other | 7 | 7.2% | |
| 6 | Undetermined | 7 | 7.2% | |
| 7 | Wildland, woods | 6 | 6.2% | |
| 8 | Cooking area, kitchen | 2 | 2.1% | |
| 9 | Chute/container - trash, rubbish, waste | 2 | 2.1% | |
| 10 | Duct: hvac, cable, exhaust, heating, or AC | 2 | 2.1% | |
| 11 | All other areas | 14 | 14.4% |
NFIRS Heat Source (HEAT_SOURC) — the physical thing that started it. Spark or ember from operating equipment, an open flame, smoking materials, or hot embers from a fireplace are the leading culprits nationwide. Here's the Rugby mix.
| # | Heat source | Count | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Undetermined | 48 | 49.5% | |
| 2 | Heat from other open flame or smoking materials | 12 | 12.4% | |
| 3 | Hot ember or ash | 9 | 9.3% | |
| 4 | Radiated, conducted heat from operating equipment | 6 | 6.2% | |
| 5 | Arcing | 6 | 6.2% | |
| 6 | Heat source: other | 4 | 4.1% | |
| 7 | Heat from powered equipment, other | 3 | 3.1% | |
| 8 | Hot or smoldering object, other | 3 | 3.1% | |
| 9 | Match | 2 | 2.1% | |
| 10 | Spark, ember or flame from operating equipment | 1 | 1.0% | |
| 11 | All other sources | 3 | 3.1% |
Per-capita rates let us compare apples to apples. Rugby sits below the national average for incidents per resident.
Top 25 wildfires (1992+) in the FPA-FOD ignitions database, scaled by acres. 28,403 acres burned in this 50-mile radius. Each dot is a fire — bigger dots burned more land.
| Year | Cause | Acres | Distance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Equipment and vehicle use | 4,000 | 13.8 mi | |
| 2007 | Arson/incendiarism | 2,560 | 34.8 mi | |
| 1992 | Missing data/not specified/undetermined | 2,100 | 32.1 mi | |
| 2008 | Missing data/not specified/undetermined | 1,701 | 34.3 mi | |
| 1994 | Debris and open burning | 1,640 | 14.7 mi | |
| 2018 | Debris and open burning | 1,600 | 39.4 mi | |
| 2007 | Debris and open burning | 1,400 | 38.9 mi | |
| 2007 | Debris and open burning | 1,288 | 31.0 mi | |
| 2016 | Debris and open burning | 1,240 | 38.0 mi | |
| 2001 | Missing data/not specified/undetermined | 1,000 | 33.5 mi | |
| 2001 | Missing data/not specified/undetermined | 850 | 33.0 mi | |
| 2007 | Debris and open burning | 785 | 9.4 mi |
Top 1 ZIP codes by NFIRS incident count across 2021–2025. Each ZIP has its own fire profile — dive in for neighborhood-level context.
| # | ZIP | 5-yr incidents | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58368 | 118 |
Six North Dakota cities with population within ±25% of Rugby. Useful comparison targets — same state, similar size, different fire profile.
2 departments report to NFIRS for incidents in Rugby.
A 30-minute weekend can cut your home's exposure substantially. These four checklists are a good starting point.
Numbers reflect incidents reported by participating fire departments to the National Fire Incident Reporting System (NFIRS) Public Data Release for calendar year 2025. NFIRS is voluntary — about 23,000 of roughly 30,000 US fire departments report — so totals are a strong indicator, not a complete census. Per-capita comparisons use 2023 ACS population estimates. Wildland fire data complements NFIRS with NIFC and USFS perimeters. Active-fire counts come from a dated NIFC snapshot, not a live feed.