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2025 Annual Fire Report

Fires in Waterflow, New Mexico

In 2025, fire departments serving Waterflow responded to 28 fire and hazmat incidents . Here's the full picture.

Updated Sep 27, 2026 Grade C Peak yr 2021 San Juan County 1,325 residents 0 reporting departments 94 5-yr
Total incidents
28
+86.7% vs 2024
Building fires
2
Residential 50% Other 50%
Property loss
$0
$0 structure · $0 contents
Deaths & injuries
0 / 0
0 civilian deaths · 0 civ injuries · 0 firefighter injuries
01 The mix

What kinds of fires happen here?

Brush, or brush and grass mixture fire lead by count. Building fires lead by dollars. Together the top five categories make up about 71% of all calls.

28
Total Incidents
Brush, or brush and grass mixture fire 12 42.9%
Building fires 2 7.1%
Gasoline or other flammable liquid spill 2 7.1%
Unauthorized burning 2 7.1%
Authorized controlled burning 2 7.1%
All other categories 8 28.6%
02 Seasonality

When do fires happen?

Mar peaks. Jun dips. Watch for the typical fall climb starting in October.

Jan 4
Feb 3
Mar 5
Apr 5
May 5
Jun 0
Jul 1
Aug 2
Sep 0
Oct 1
Nov 2
Dec 0
Fewer
More
2b Five-year trend

Year over year in Waterflow

94 incidents 2021–2025. Peak year was 2021. $8K cumulative property loss. 1 civilian deaths.

YearIncidentsYoY 
2021 28 —
2022 21 -25.0%
2023* 2 —
2024 15 —
2025 28 +86.7%

* Well below Waterflow's usual volume. That almost always means one or more departments didn't submit a full year to NFIRS, not that fires dropped, so no year-over-year change is shown for it.

03 Cause of ignition

What sparks building fires?

For the 2 building fires Waterflow departments responded to in 2025, here's how they were classified once investigators were finished.

Unintentional
33%
2
Cause undetermined
50%
3
Intentional / arson
17%
1
Equipment / heat source failure
0%
0
Under investigation
0%
0
Act of nature (lightning)
0%
0
3b Where fires start

Where do fires start in Waterflow?

NFIRS Area of Origin (AREA_ORIG) for the 47 building fires investigators classified across 2021–2025. The room or location where ignition occurred — kitchens, bedrooms, exterior, vehicle areas — tells you where to focus prevention.

#Area of originCountShare 
1 Undetermined 17 36.2%
2 Outside area, other 8 17.0%
3 Open area - outside; included are farmland, field 8 17.0%
4 Other 2 4.3%
5 Storage area, other 2 4.3%
6 Storage: supplies or tools; dead storage 2 4.3%
7 Structural area, other 2 4.3%
8 Cooking area, kitchen 1 2.1%
9 Storage room, area, tank, or bin 1 2.1%
10 Substructure area or space, crawl space 1 2.1%
11 All other areas 3 6.4%
3c What ignited it

What actually ignited the fire?

NFIRS Heat Source (HEAT_SOURC) — the physical thing that started it. Spark or ember from operating equipment, an open flame, smoking materials, or hot embers from a fireplace are the leading culprits nationwide. Here's the Waterflow mix.

#Heat sourceCountShare 
1 Undetermined 28 59.6%
2 Heat source: other 5 10.6%
3 Heat from direct flame, convection currents 3 6.4%
4 Hot or smoldering object, other 2 4.3%
5 Hot ember or ash 2 4.3%
6 Fireworks 2 4.3%
7 Heat from powered equipment, other 1 2.1%
8 Arcing 1 2.1%
9 Heat from other open flame or smoking materials 1 2.1%
10 Sunlight 1 2.1%
11 All other sources 1 2.1%
05 How Waterflow compares

Waterflow vs New Mexico vs the nation

Per-capita rates let us compare apples to apples. Waterflow sits above the national average for incidents per resident.

21.13
Incidents per 1,000 residents
Waterflow
21.13
NM avg
11.46
US avg
7.48
1.51
Building fires per 1,000 residents
Waterflow
1.51
NM avg
0.72
US avg
0.85
0
Civilian fire deaths per million
Waterflow
0
NM avg
13.2
US avg
5.9
5c Wildfires nearby

Wildfires within 50 mi of Waterflow

Top 25 wildfires (1992+) in the FPA-FOD ignitions database, scaled by acres. 75,074 acres burned in this 50-mile radius. Each dot is a fire — bigger dots burned more land.

50 mi radius
YearCauseAcresDistance 
2000 Natural 23,220 38.2 mi
2012 Arson/incendiarism 10,133 36.7 mi
1994 Natural 7,271 37.3 mi
1996 Natural 4,781 32.7 mi
2002 Natural 4,033 35.1 mi
2000 Natural 3,888 31.4 mi
2020 Natural 2,905 37.7 mi
2003 Natural 2,744 28.4 mi
2002 Natural 2,601 29.6 mi
2005 Natural 2,381 33.5 mi
2007 Natural 1,550 32.4 mi
2002 Natural 1,360 31.3 mi
5d Top ZIPs

Where in Waterflow do fires concentrate?

Top 1 ZIP codes by NFIRS incident count across 2021–2025. Each ZIP has its own fire profile — dive in for neighborhood-level context.

#ZIP5-yr incidents 
1 87421 94
5e Peer cities

Cities similar to Waterflow

Six New Mexico cities with population within ±25% of Waterflow. Useful comparison targets — same state, similar size, different fire profile.

07 Stay prepared

Before the next Red Flag day.

A 30-minute weekend can cut your home's exposure substantially. These four checklists are a good starting point.

About this data

Numbers reflect incidents reported by participating fire departments to the National Fire Incident Reporting System (NFIRS) Public Data Release for calendar year 2025. NFIRS is voluntary — about 23,000 of roughly 30,000 US fire departments report — so totals are a strong indicator, not a complete census. Per-capita comparisons use 2023 ACS population estimates. Wildland fire data complements NFIRS with NIFC and USFS perimeters. Active-fire counts come from a dated NIFC snapshot, not a live feed.