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2025 Annual Fire Report

Fires in Ballico, California

In 2025, fire departments serving Ballico responded to 42 fire and hazmat incidents — from cooking fires to gas leaks to a single $250K building blaze. Here's the full picture.

Updated Sep 27, 2026 Grade C- Peak yr 2025 Merced County 535 residents 0 reporting departments 150 5-yr
Total incidents
42
+27.3% vs 2024
Building fires
0
Residential 67% Other 33%
Property loss
$733K
$429K structure · $304K contents
Deaths & injuries
0 / 0
0 civilian deaths · 0 civ injuries · 0 firefighter injuries
01 The mix

What kinds of fires happen here?

Grass fire lead by count. Building fires lead by dollars. Together the top five categories make up about 71% of all calls.

42
Total Incidents
Grass fire 11 26.2%
Outside rubbish, trash or waste fire 10 23.8%
Passenger vehicle fire 4 9.5%
Brush, or brush and grass mixture fire 3 7.1%
Off-road vehicle or heavy equipment fire 2 4.8%
All other categories 12 28.6%
02 Seasonality

When do fires happen?

Jul peaks. Feb dips. Watch for the typical fall climb starting in October.

Jan 1
Feb 0
Mar 4
Apr 1
May 4
Jun 6
Jul 11
Aug 3
Sep 8
Oct 1
Nov 1
Dec 2
Fewer
More
2b Five-year trend

Year over year in Ballico

150 incidents 2021–2025. Peak year was 2025. $1.7M cumulative property loss.

YearIncidentsYoY 
2021 40 —
2022 19 -52.5%
2023* 16 —
2024 33 —
2025 42 +27.3%

* Well below Ballico's usual volume. That almost always means one or more departments didn't submit a full year to NFIRS, not that fires dropped, so no year-over-year change is shown for it.

03 Cause of ignition

What sparks building fires?

For the 0 building fires Ballico departments responded to in 2025, here's how they were classified once investigators were finished.

Unintentional
50%
4
Cause undetermined
12%
1
Intentional / arson
0%
0
Equipment / heat source failure
0%
0
Under investigation
25%
2
Act of nature (lightning)
13%
1
3b Where fires start

Where do fires start in Ballico?

NFIRS Area of Origin (AREA_ORIG) for the 38 building fires investigators classified across 2021–2025. The room or location where ignition occurred — kitchens, bedrooms, exterior, vehicle areas — tells you where to focus prevention.

#Area of originCountShare 
1 Undetermined 12 31.6%
2 Operator/passenger area of transportation equip. 6 15.8%
3 Cargo/trunk area - all vehicles 4 10.5%
4 Engine area, running gear, wheel area 4 10.5%
5 Other 2 5.3%
6 Vehicle area, other 2 5.3%
7 Open area - outside; included are farmland, field 2 5.3%
8 Storage area, other 1 2.6%
9 Machinery room or area; elevator machinery room 1 2.6%
10 Structural area, other 1 2.6%
11 All other areas 3 7.9%
3c What ignited it

What actually ignited the fire?

NFIRS Heat Source (HEAT_SOURC) — the physical thing that started it. Spark or ember from operating equipment, an open flame, smoking materials, or hot embers from a fireplace are the leading culprits nationwide. Here's the Ballico mix.

#Heat sourceCountShare 
1 Undetermined 18 47.4%
2 Radiated, conducted heat from operating equipment 4 10.5%
3 Heat source: other 3 7.9%
4 Chemical reaction 3 7.9%
5 Arcing 2 5.3%
6 Hot or smoldering object, other 2 5.3%
7 Cigarette lighter 2 5.3%
8 Heat from powered equipment, other 1 2.6%
9 Heat, spark from friction 1 2.6%
10 Molten, hot material 1 2.6%
11 All other sources 1 2.6%
04 The biggest fires

8 fires · $429K in losses

Largest single-incident property losses reported by Ballico departments in 2025. These 8 fires alone account for 100% of the city's annual total.

# Property loss Type Severity Status
1 $250,000 Off-road vehicle or heavy equipment fire Major Investigated
2 $129,000 Off-road vehicle or heavy equipment fire Significant Investigated
3 $20,000 Passenger vehicle fire Significant Investigated
4 $15,000 Passenger vehicle fire Significant Investigated
5 $10,000 Outside rubbish, trash or waste fire Significant Investigated
6 $2,500 Grass fire Significant Investigated
7 $1,500 Passenger vehicle fire Significant Investigated
8 $500 Grass fire Significant Investigated
05 How Ballico compares

Ballico vs California vs the nation

Per-capita rates let us compare apples to apples. Ballico sits above the national average for incidents per resident.

78.5
Incidents per 1,000 residents
Ballico
78.5
CA avg
5.32
US avg
7.48
0
Building fires per 1,000 residents
Ballico
0
CA avg
0.32
US avg
0.85
0
Civilian fire deaths per million
Ballico
0
CA avg
2.9
US avg
5.9
5c Wildfires nearby

Wildfires within 50 mi of Ballico

Top 25 wildfires (1992+) in the FPA-FOD ignitions database, scaled by acres. 1,138,976 acres burned in this 50-mile radius. Each dot is a fire — bigger dots burned more land.

50 mi radius
YearCauseAcresDistance 
2020 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 396,624 47.4 mi
2013 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 255,858 44.2 mi
2018 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 96,953 47.1 mi
2017 Firearms and explosives use 81,826 29.1 mi
2007 Recreation and ceremony 47,760 46.9 mi
2006 Equipment and vehicle use 34,271 31.9 mi
2008 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 34,091 39.6 mi
2006 Equipment and vehicle use 25,000 5.9 mi
1996 Natural 22,080 43.9 mi
1992 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 18,000 49.8 mi
1996 Equipment and vehicle use 16,820 37.0 mi
2018 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 12,300 20.0 mi
5d Top ZIPs

Where in Ballico do fires concentrate?

Top 5 ZIP codes by NFIRS incident count across 2021–2025. Each ZIP has its own fire profile — dive in for neighborhood-level context.

#ZIP5-yr incidents 
1 95303 96
2 95380 24
3 95369 17
4 95315 10
5 95316 3
5e Peer cities

Cities similar to Ballico

Six California cities with population within ±25% of Ballico. Useful comparison targets — same state, similar size, different fire profile.

07 Stay prepared

Before the next Red Flag day.

A 30-minute weekend can cut your home's exposure substantially. These four checklists are a good starting point.

About this data

Numbers reflect incidents reported by participating fire departments to the National Fire Incident Reporting System (NFIRS) Public Data Release for calendar year 2025. NFIRS is voluntary — about 23,000 of roughly 30,000 US fire departments report — so totals are a strong indicator, not a complete census. Per-capita comparisons use 2023 ACS population estimates. Wildland fire data complements NFIRS with NIFC and USFS perimeters. Active-fire counts come from a dated NIFC snapshot, not a live feed.