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2025 Annual Fire Report

Fires in Gainesville, Virginia

In 2025, fire departments serving Gainesville responded to 186 fire and hazmat incidents — from cooking fires to gas leaks to a single $250K building blaze. Here's the full picture.

Updated Sep 27, 2026 Grade B+ Peak yr 2025 Prince William County 16,972 residents 0 reporting departments 768 5-yr
Total incidents
186
+12.7% vs 2024
Building fires
5
Residential 60% Other 40%
Property loss
$710K
$416K structure · $294K contents
Deaths & injuries
0 / 0
0 civilian deaths · 0 civ injuries · 0 firefighter injuries
01 The mix

What kinds of fires happen here?

Gas leak (natural gas or LPG) lead by count. Building fires lead by dollars. Together the top five categories make up about 66% of all calls.

186
Total Incidents
Gas leak (natural gas or LPG) 51 27.4%
Hazardous condition, other 37 19.9%
Carbon monoxide incident 14 7.5%
Fire, other 10 5.4%
Cooking fire, confined to container 10 5.4%
All other categories 64 34.4%
02 Seasonality

When do fires happen?

Feb peaks. Nov dips. Watch for the typical fall climb starting in October.

Jan 21
Feb 24
Mar 17
Apr 10
May 16
Jun 14
Jul 13
Aug 15
Sep 9
Oct 23
Nov 8
Dec 16
Fewer
More
2b Five-year trend

Year over year in Gainesville

768 incidents 2021–2025. Peak year was 2025. $1.1M cumulative property loss.

YearIncidentsYoY 
2021 116 —
2022 131 +12.9%
2023 170 +29.8%
2024 165 -2.9%
2025 186 +12.7%
03 Cause of ignition

What sparks building fires?

For the 5 building fires Gainesville departments responded to in 2025, here's how they were classified once investigators were finished.

Unintentional
55%
11
Cause undetermined
10%
2
Intentional / arson
5%
1
Equipment / heat source failure
20%
4
Under investigation
10%
2
Act of nature (lightning)
0%
0
3b Where fires start

Where do fires start in Gainesville?

NFIRS Area of Origin (AREA_ORIG) for the 116 building fires investigators classified across 2021–2025. The room or location where ignition occurred — kitchens, bedrooms, exterior, vehicle areas — tells you where to focus prevention.

#Area of originCountShare 
1 Outside area, other 17 14.7%
2 Cooking area, kitchen 16 13.8%
3 Undetermined 15 12.9%
4 Engine area, running gear, wheel area 13 11.2%
5 Other 9 7.8%
6 Vehicle area, other 7 6.0%
7 Laundry area, wash house (laundry) 4 3.4%
8 Common room, den, family room, living room, lounge 3 2.6%
9 Exterior, exposed surface 3 2.6%
10 Multiple areas 3 2.6%
11 All other areas 26 22.4%
3c What ignited it

What actually ignited the fire?

NFIRS Heat Source (HEAT_SOURC) — the physical thing that started it. Spark or ember from operating equipment, an open flame, smoking materials, or hot embers from a fireplace are the leading culprits nationwide. Here's the Gainesville mix.

#Heat sourceCountShare 
1 Undetermined 52 44.8%
2 Heat from powered equipment, other 13 11.2%
3 Arcing 13 11.2%
4 Radiated, conducted heat from operating equipment 10 8.6%
5 Heat source: other 8 6.9%
6 Spark, ember or flame from operating equipment 5 4.3%
7 Molten, hot material 2 1.7%
8 Heat from other open flame or smoking materials 2 1.7%
9 Cigarette 2 1.7%
10 Lightning 2 1.7%
11 All other sources 7 6.0%
04 The biggest fires

8 fires · $415K in losses

Largest single-incident property losses reported by Gainesville departments in 2025. These 8 fires alone account for 100% of the city's annual total.

# Property loss Type Severity Status
1 $250,000 Fire, other Major Investigated
2 $100,000 Road freight or transport vehicle fire Significant Investigated
3 $25,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
4 $20,000 Road freight or transport vehicle fire Significant Investigated
5 $10,000 Passenger vehicle fire Significant Investigated
6 $5,000 Fire, other Significant Investigated
7 $4,900 Trash or rubbish fire, contained Significant Investigated
8 $500 Grass fire Significant Investigated
05 How Gainesville compares

Gainesville vs Virginia vs the nation

Per-capita rates let us compare apples to apples. Gainesville sits above the national average for incidents per resident.

10.96
Incidents per 1,000 residents
Gainesville
10.96
VA avg
8.68
US avg
7.48
0.29
Building fires per 1,000 residents
Gainesville
0.29
VA avg
0.84
US avg
0.85
0
Civilian fire deaths per million
Gainesville
0
VA avg
6.1
US avg
5.9
5c Wildfires nearby

Wildfires within 50 mi of Gainesville

Top 25 wildfires (1992+) in the FPA-FOD ignitions database, scaled by acres. 36,843 acres burned in this 50-mile radius. Each dot is a fire — bigger dots burned more land.

50 mi radius
YearCauseAcresDistance 
2000 Recreation and ceremony 16,021 38.4 mi
2000 Arson/incendiarism 6,131 40.5 mi
2012 Natural 2,138 39.9 mi
2011 Other causes 1,989 30.1 mi
1999 Arson/incendiarism 1,579 49.2 mi
2012 Natural 1,200 38.1 mi
2000 Recreation and ceremony 1,113 41.3 mi
2019 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 745 44.9 mi
1999 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 640 21.7 mi
2013 Recreation and ceremony 608 42.8 mi
2010 Recreation and ceremony 560 48.5 mi
2011 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 461 30.2 mi
5d Top ZIPs

Where in Gainesville do fires concentrate?

Top 10 ZIP codes by NFIRS incident count across 2021–2025. Each ZIP has its own fire profile — dive in for neighborhood-level context.

#ZIP5-yr incidents 
1 20155 710
2 20169 13
3 20181 10
4 20143 9
5 20136 7
6 20109 6
7 20137 6
8 22125 1
9 22191 1
10 22192 1
5e Peer cities

Cities similar to Gainesville

Six Virginia cities with population within ±25% of Gainesville. Useful comparison targets — same state, similar size, different fire profile.

07 Stay prepared

Before the next Red Flag day.

A 30-minute weekend can cut your home's exposure substantially. These four checklists are a good starting point.

About this data

Numbers reflect incidents reported by participating fire departments to the National Fire Incident Reporting System (NFIRS) Public Data Release for calendar year 2025. NFIRS is voluntary — about 23,000 of roughly 30,000 US fire departments report — so totals are a strong indicator, not a complete census. Per-capita comparisons use 2023 ACS population estimates. Wildland fire data complements NFIRS with NIFC and USFS perimeters. Active-fire counts come from a dated NIFC snapshot, not a live feed.