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2025 Annual Fire Report

Fires in Horseshoe Bay, Texas

In 2025, fire departments serving Horseshoe Bay responded to 39 fire and hazmat incidents . Here's the full picture.

Updated Sep 27, 2026 Grade C+ Peak yr 2023 Llano County 4,601 residents 2 reporting departments 454 5-yr

Incomplete 2025 data. Horseshoe Bay's departments reported 39 incidents to NFIRS for 2025, against about 91 in a typical year, so 2025 figures on this page undercount. The 2021–2025 totals are the better guide.

Total incidents
39
Not comparable with 2024 (incomplete reporting)
Building fires
0
Residential 67% Other 33%
Property loss
$0
$0 structure · $0 contents
Deaths & injuries
0 / 0
0 civilian deaths · 0 civ injuries · 0 firefighter injuries
01 The mix

What kinds of fires happen here?

Grass fire lead by count. Building fires lead by dollars. Together the top five categories make up about 67% of all calls.

39
Total Incidents
Grass fire 9 23.1%
Gas leak (natural gas or LPG) 5 12.8%
Authorized controlled burning 5 12.8%
Aircraft standby 4 10.3%
Passenger vehicle fire 3 7.7%
All other categories 13 33.3%
02 Seasonality

When do fires happen?

Jun peaks. Jan dips. Watch for the typical fall climb starting in October.

Jan 0
Feb 4
Mar 3
Apr 5
May 7
Jun 9
Jul 4
Aug 3
Sep 0
Oct 4
Nov 0
Dec 0
Fewer
More
2b Five-year trend

Year over year in Horseshoe Bay

454 incidents 2021–2025. Peak year was 2023. $733K cumulative property loss.

YearIncidentsYoY 
2021 119 —
2022 76 -36.1%
2023 123 +61.8%
2024 97 -21.1%
2025* 39 —

* Well below Horseshoe Bay's usual volume. That almost always means one or more departments didn't submit a full year to NFIRS, not that fires dropped, so no year-over-year change is shown for it.

03 Cause of ignition

What sparks building fires?

For the 0 building fires Horseshoe Bay departments responded to in 2025, here's how they were classified once investigators were finished.

Unintentional
36%
5
Cause undetermined
14%
2
Intentional / arson
7%
1
Equipment / heat source failure
29%
4
Under investigation
7%
1
Act of nature (lightning)
7%
1
3b Where fires start

Where do fires start in Horseshoe Bay?

NFIRS Area of Origin (AREA_ORIG) for the 96 building fires investigators classified across 2021–2025. The room or location where ignition occurred — kitchens, bedrooms, exterior, vehicle areas — tells you where to focus prevention.

#Area of originCountShare 
1 Outside area, other 32 33.3%
2 Open area - outside; included are farmland, field 10 10.4%
3 Cooking area, kitchen 9 9.4%
4 Engine area, running gear, wheel area 8 8.3%
5 Highway, parking lot, street: on or near 7 7.3%
6 Attic: vacant, crawl space above top story, cupola 4 4.2%
7 Construction/renovation area 4 4.2%
8 Vehicle storage area; garage, carport 2 2.1%
9 Exterior balcony, unenclosed porch 2 2.1%
10 Vehicle area, other 2 2.1%
11 All other areas 16 16.7%
3c What ignited it

What actually ignited the fire?

NFIRS Heat Source (HEAT_SOURC) — the physical thing that started it. Spark or ember from operating equipment, an open flame, smoking materials, or hot embers from a fireplace are the leading culprits nationwide. Here's the Horseshoe Bay mix.

#Heat sourceCountShare 
1 Undetermined 26 27.1%
2 Spark, ember or flame from operating equipment 15 15.6%
3 Arcing 12 12.5%
4 Hot ember or ash 6 6.2%
5 Heat from powered equipment, other 5 5.2%
6 Radiated, conducted heat from operating equipment 4 4.2%
7 Heat, spark from friction 4 4.2%
8 Cigarette 4 4.2%
9 Lightning 4 4.2%
10 Heat source: other 3 3.1%
11 All other sources 13 13.5%
05 How Horseshoe Bay compares

Horseshoe Bay vs Texas vs the nation

Per-capita rates let us compare apples to apples. Horseshoe Bay sits above the national average for incidents per resident.

8.48
Incidents per 1,000 residents
Horseshoe Bay
8.48
TX avg
7.68
US avg
7.48
0
Building fires per 1,000 residents
Horseshoe Bay
0
TX avg
0.7
US avg
0.85
0
Civilian fire deaths per million
Horseshoe Bay
0
TX avg
5.4
US avg
5.9
5c Wildfires nearby

Wildfires within 50 mi of Horseshoe Bay

Top 25 wildfires (1992+) in the FPA-FOD ignitions database, scaled by acres. 59,619 acres burned in this 50-mile radius. Each dot is a fire — bigger dots burned more land.

50 mi radius
YearCauseAcresDistance 
2015 Power generation/transmission/distribution 10,468 41.2 mi
2011 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 6,500 20.6 mi
1999 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 6,213 46.3 mi
2015 Equipment and vehicle use 3,409 49.5 mi
2007 Equipment and vehicle use 2,800 46.5 mi
2011 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 2,400 49.6 mi
2008 Debris and open burning 2,106 35.5 mi
2014 Natural 2,079 49.1 mi
2007 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 2,000 22.3 mi
2009 Equipment and vehicle use 2,000 27.2 mi
2000 Natural 1,792 29.3 mi
2006 Equipment and vehicle use 1,700 29.9 mi
5d Top ZIPs

Where in Horseshoe Bay do fires concentrate?

Top 2 ZIP codes by NFIRS incident count across 2021–2025. Each ZIP has its own fire profile — dive in for neighborhood-level context.

#ZIP5-yr incidents 
1 78657 428
2 78654 26
5e Peer cities

Cities similar to Horseshoe Bay

Six Texas cities with population within ±25% of Horseshoe Bay. Useful comparison targets — same state, similar size, different fire profile.

06 First responders

Who responds in Horseshoe Bay?

2 departments report to NFIRS for incidents in Horseshoe Bay.

Horseshoe Bay FD City of
1 Community DR
FDID PX30313 paid
Sandy Harbor VFD
203 GRANITE SHOALS DR
FDID PX302
07 Stay prepared

Before the next Red Flag day.

A 30-minute weekend can cut your home's exposure substantially. These four checklists are a good starting point.

About this data

Numbers reflect incidents reported by participating fire departments to the National Fire Incident Reporting System (NFIRS) Public Data Release for calendar year 2025. NFIRS is voluntary — about 23,000 of roughly 30,000 US fire departments report — so totals are a strong indicator, not a complete census. Per-capita comparisons use 2023 ACS population estimates. Wildland fire data complements NFIRS with NIFC and USFS perimeters. Active-fire counts come from a dated NIFC snapshot, not a live feed.