Red Flag Warnings Blanket Five Northern Rockies and Plains States
Critical fire weather triggered Red Flag Warnings across Montana, Wyoming, Idaho, and the Dakotas on Sept. 10, capping an active season in the region.
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In 2025, fire departments serving Lead responded to 26 fire and hazmat incidents — from cooking fires to gas leaks to a single $150K building blaze. Here's the full picture.
Gas leak (natural gas or LPG) lead by count. Building fires lead by dollars. Together the top five categories make up about 77% of all calls.
Dec peaks. Apr dips. Watch for the typical fall climb starting in October.
201 incidents 2021–2025. Peak year was 2022. $890K cumulative property loss.
| Year | Incidents | YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021* | 21 | — | |
| 2022 | 63 | — | |
| 2023 | 46 | -27.0% | |
| 2024 | 45 | -2.2% | |
| 2025 | 26 | -42.2% |
* Well below Lead's usual volume. That almost always means one or more departments didn't submit a full year to NFIRS, not that fires dropped, so no year-over-year change is shown for it.
For the 7 building fires Lead departments responded to in 2025, here's how they were classified once investigators were finished.
NFIRS Area of Origin (AREA_ORIG) for the 40 building fires investigators classified across 2021–2025. The room or location where ignition occurred — kitchens, bedrooms, exterior, vehicle areas — tells you where to focus prevention.
| # | Area of origin | Count | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Undetermined | 10 | 25.0% | |
| 2 | Engine area, running gear, wheel area | 6 | 15.0% | |
| 3 | Wildland, woods | 4 | 10.0% | |
| 4 | Cooking area, kitchen | 3 | 7.5% | |
| 5 | Vehicle area, other | 3 | 7.5% | |
| 6 | Outside area, other | 3 | 7.5% | |
| 7 | Exterior balcony, unenclosed porch | 2 | 5.0% | |
| 8 | Other | 1 | 2.5% | |
| 9 | Egress/exit, other | 1 | 2.5% | |
| 10 | Common room, den, family room, living room, lounge | 1 | 2.5% | |
| 11 | All other areas | 6 | 15.0% |
NFIRS Heat Source (HEAT_SOURC) — the physical thing that started it. Spark or ember from operating equipment, an open flame, smoking materials, or hot embers from a fireplace are the leading culprits nationwide. Here's the Lead mix.
| # | Heat source | Count | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Undetermined | 19 | 47.5% | |
| 2 | Radiated, conducted heat from operating equipment | 3 | 7.5% | |
| 3 | Arcing | 2 | 5.0% | |
| 4 | Hot or smoldering object, other | 2 | 5.0% | |
| 5 | Heat from undetermined smoking material | 2 | 5.0% | |
| 6 | Backfire from internal combustion engine | 2 | 5.0% | |
| 7 | Heat from powered equipment, other | 1 | 2.5% | |
| 8 | Spark, ember or flame from operating equipment | 1 | 2.5% | |
| 9 | Hot ember or ash | 1 | 2.5% | |
| 10 | Cigarette | 1 | 2.5% | |
| 11 | All other sources | 6 | 15.0% |
Largest single-incident property losses reported by Lead departments in 2025. These 2 fires alone account for 100% of the city's annual total.
| # | Property loss | Type | Severity | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $150,000 | Building fires | Significant | Investigated |
| 2 | $10,000 | Off-road vehicle or heavy equipment fire | Significant | Investigated |
Per-capita rates let us compare apples to apples. Lead sits above the national average for incidents per resident.
Top 25 wildfires (1992+) in the FPA-FOD ignitions database, scaled by acres. 342,103 acres burned in this 50-mile radius. Each dot is a fire — bigger dots burned more land.
| Year | Cause | Acres | Distance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Arson/incendiarism | 83,508 | 43.3 mi | |
| 2012 | Power generation/transmission/distribution | 61,416 | 39.7 mi | |
| 2017 | Power generation/transmission/distribution | 54,023 | 43.3 mi | |
| 1992 | Missing data/not specified/undetermined | 33,000 | 42.5 mi | |
| 2001 | Natural | 14,990 | 46.9 mi | |
| 2002 | Power generation/transmission/distribution | 12,443 | 35.7 mi | |
| 2016 | Natural | 12,347 | 46.9 mi | |
| 2002 | Missing data/not specified/undetermined | 11,589 | 1.7 mi | |
| 2011 | Natural | 7,462 | 46.9 mi | |
| 2007 | Natural | 5,000 | 41.7 mi | |
| 2004 | Missing data/not specified/undetermined | 4,700 | 32.6 mi | |
| 2006 | Natural | 4,242 | 49.5 mi |
Top 2 ZIP codes by NFIRS incident count across 2021–2025. Each ZIP has its own fire profile — dive in for neighborhood-level context.
Six South Dakota cities with population within ±25% of Lead. Useful comparison targets — same state, similar size, different fire profile.
1 departments report to NFIRS for incidents in Lead.
A 30-minute weekend can cut your home's exposure substantially. These four checklists are a good starting point.
Numbers reflect incidents reported by participating fire departments to the National Fire Incident Reporting System (NFIRS) Public Data Release for calendar year 2025. NFIRS is voluntary — about 23,000 of roughly 30,000 US fire departments report — so totals are a strong indicator, not a complete census. Per-capita comparisons use 2023 ACS population estimates. Wildland fire data complements NFIRS with NIFC and USFS perimeters. Active-fire counts come from a dated NIFC snapshot, not a live feed.