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2025 Annual Fire Report

Fires in Nokesville, Virginia

In 2025, fire departments serving Nokesville responded to 97 fire and hazmat incidents — from cooking fires to gas leaks to a single $1.3M building blaze. Here's the full picture.

Updated Sep 27, 2026 Grade C- Peak yr 2025 Prince William County 1,452 residents 0 reporting departments 449 5-yr
Total incidents
97
+1.0% vs 2024
Building fires
8
Residential 63% Other 37%
Property loss
$1.7M
$1.4M structure · $305K contents
Deaths & injuries
0 / 0
0 civilian deaths · 0 civ injuries · 0 firefighter injuries
01 The mix

What kinds of fires happen here?

Hazardous condition, other lead by count. Building fires lead by dollars. Together the top five categories make up about 72% of all calls.

97
Total Incidents
Hazardous condition, other 25 25.8%
Gas leak (natural gas or LPG) 17 17.5%
Brush, or brush and grass mixture fire 12 12.4%
Fire, other 8 8.2%
Building fires 8 8.2%
All other categories 27 27.8%
02 Seasonality

When do fires happen?

Jul peaks. Feb dips. Watch for the typical fall climb starting in October.

Jan 13
Feb 4
Mar 8
Apr 6
May 4
Jun 10
Jul 14
Aug 4
Sep 8
Oct 6
Nov 7
Dec 13
Fewer
More
2b Five-year trend

Year over year in Nokesville

449 incidents 2021–2025. Peak year was 2025. $2.7M cumulative property loss.

YearIncidentsYoY 
2021 68 —
2022 92 +35.3%
2023 96 +4.3%
2024 96 +0.0%
2025 97 +1.0%
03 Cause of ignition

What sparks building fires?

For the 8 building fires Nokesville departments responded to in 2025, here's how they were classified once investigators were finished.

Unintentional
29%
5
Cause undetermined
12%
2
Intentional / arson
18%
3
Equipment / heat source failure
12%
2
Under investigation
12%
2
Act of nature (lightning)
17%
3
3b Where fires start

Where do fires start in Nokesville?

NFIRS Area of Origin (AREA_ORIG) for the 69 building fires investigators classified across 2021–2025. The room or location where ignition occurred — kitchens, bedrooms, exterior, vehicle areas — tells you where to focus prevention.

#Area of originCountShare 
1 Outside area, other 12 17.4%
2 Undetermined 12 17.4%
3 Engine area, running gear, wheel area 8 11.6%
4 Open area - outside; included are farmland, field 6 8.7%
5 Other 5 7.2%
6 Cooking area, kitchen 2 2.9%
7 Bathroom, checkroom, lavatory, locker room 2 2.9%
8 Storage area, other 2 2.9%
9 Vehicle storage area; garage, carport 2 2.9%
10 Service facilities, other 2 2.9%
11 All other areas 16 23.2%
3c What ignited it

What actually ignited the fire?

NFIRS Heat Source (HEAT_SOURC) — the physical thing that started it. Spark or ember from operating equipment, an open flame, smoking materials, or hot embers from a fireplace are the leading culprits nationwide. Here's the Nokesville mix.

#Heat sourceCountShare 
1 Undetermined 27 39.1%
2 Heat from powered equipment, other 7 10.1%
3 Arcing 6 8.7%
4 Radiated, conducted heat from operating equipment 5 7.2%
5 Lightning 5 7.2%
6 Heat source: other 4 5.8%
7 Spark, ember or flame from operating equipment 4 5.8%
8 Hot or smoldering object, other 3 4.3%
9 Hot ember or ash 2 2.9%
10 Cigarette lighter 2 2.9%
11 All other sources 4 5.8%
04 The biggest fires

8 fires · $1.4M in losses

Largest single-incident property losses reported by Nokesville departments in 2025. These 8 fires alone account for 100% of the city's annual total.

# Property loss Type Severity Status
1 $1,260,900 Building fires Major Investigated
2 $100,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
3 $25,000 Fire, other Significant Investigated
4 $25,000 Passenger vehicle fire Significant Investigated
5 $10,000 Fire in motor home, camper, recreational vehicle Significant Investigated
6 $1,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
7 $1,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
8 $1,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
05 How Nokesville compares

Nokesville vs Virginia vs the nation

Per-capita rates let us compare apples to apples. Nokesville sits above the national average for incidents per resident.

66.8
Incidents per 1,000 residents
Nokesville
66.8
VA avg
8.68
US avg
7.48
5.51
Building fires per 1,000 residents
Nokesville
5.51
VA avg
0.84
US avg
0.85
0
Civilian fire deaths per million
Nokesville
0
VA avg
6.1
US avg
5.9
5c Wildfires nearby

Wildfires within 50 mi of Nokesville

Top 25 wildfires (1992+) in the FPA-FOD ignitions database, scaled by acres. 37,560 acres burned in this 50-mile radius. Each dot is a fire — bigger dots burned more land.

50 mi radius
YearCauseAcresDistance 
2000 Recreation and ceremony 16,021 40.0 mi
2000 Arson/incendiarism 6,131 41.1 mi
2012 Natural 2,138 42.6 mi
2011 Other causes 1,989 34.2 mi
1999 Arson/incendiarism 1,579 49.4 mi
2012 Natural 1,200 42.8 mi
2000 Recreation and ceremony 1,113 43.0 mi
2011 Power generation/transmission/distribution 907 49.2 mi
2019 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 745 48.2 mi
1999 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 640 14.5 mi
2013 Recreation and ceremony 608 46.5 mi
2011 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 461 34.2 mi
5d Top ZIPs

Where in Nokesville do fires concentrate?

Top 9 ZIP codes by NFIRS incident count across 2021–2025. Each ZIP has its own fire profile — dive in for neighborhood-level context.

#ZIP5-yr incidents 
1 20181 407
2 20112 19
3 20136 7
4 20119 3
5 20155 3
6 20187 3
7 20109 2
8 20191 1
9 22191 1
5e Peer cities

Cities similar to Nokesville

Six Virginia cities with population within ±25% of Nokesville. Useful comparison targets — same state, similar size, different fire profile.

07 Stay prepared

Before the next Red Flag day.

A 30-minute weekend can cut your home's exposure substantially. These four checklists are a good starting point.

About this data

Numbers reflect incidents reported by participating fire departments to the National Fire Incident Reporting System (NFIRS) Public Data Release for calendar year 2025. NFIRS is voluntary — about 23,000 of roughly 30,000 US fire departments report — so totals are a strong indicator, not a complete census. Per-capita comparisons use 2023 ACS population estimates. Wildland fire data complements NFIRS with NIFC and USFS perimeters. Active-fire counts come from a dated NIFC snapshot, not a live feed.