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2025 Annual Fire Report

Fires in Patterson, California

In 2025, fire departments serving Patterson responded to 152 fire and hazmat incidents — from cooking fires to gas leaks to a single $100K building blaze. Here's the full picture.

Updated Sep 27, 2026 Grade A- Peak yr 2024 Stanislaus County 23,678 residents 0 reporting departments 796 5-yr
Total incidents
152
-25.1% vs 2024
Building fires
29
Residential 66% Other 34%
Property loss
$439K
$301K structure · $138K contents
Deaths & injuries
0 / 0
0 civilian deaths · 0 civ injuries · 0 firefighter injuries
01 The mix

What kinds of fires happen here?

Building fires lead by count. Building fires lead by dollars. Together the top five categories make up about 55% of all calls.

152
Total Incidents
Building fires 29 19.1%
Passenger vehicle fire 15 9.9%
Natural vegetation fire, other 15 9.9%
Grass fire 14 9.2%
Gas leak (natural gas or LPG) 11 7.2%
All other categories 68 44.7%
02 Seasonality

When do fires happen?

Jan peaks. Nov dips. Watch for the typical fall climb starting in October.

Jan 23
Feb 7
Mar 16
Apr 19
May 19
Jun 22
Jul 14
Aug 15
Sep 12
Oct 3
Nov 1
Dec 1
Fewer
More
2b Five-year trend

Year over year in Patterson

796 incidents 2021–2025. Peak year was 2024. $2.7M cumulative property loss.

YearIncidentsYoY 
2021 100 —
2022 164 +64.0%
2023 177 +7.9%
2024 203 +14.7%
2025 152 -25.1%
03 Cause of ignition

What sparks building fires?

For the 29 building fires Patterson departments responded to in 2025, here's how they were classified once investigators were finished.

Unintentional
19%
10
Cause undetermined
58%
31
Intentional / arson
4%
2
Equipment / heat source failure
8%
4
Under investigation
11%
6
Act of nature (lightning)
0%
0
3b Where fires start

Where do fires start in Patterson?

NFIRS Area of Origin (AREA_ORIG) for the 183 building fires investigators classified across 2021–2025. The room or location where ignition occurred — kitchens, bedrooms, exterior, vehicle areas — tells you where to focus prevention.

#Area of originCountShare 
1 Undetermined 36 19.7%
2 Engine area, running gear, wheel area 23 12.6%
3 Outside area, other 14 7.7%
4 Vehicle area, other 12 6.6%
5 Cooking area, kitchen 9 4.9%
6 Storage area, other 9 4.9%
7 Vehicle storage area; garage, carport 7 3.8%
8 Operator/passenger area of transportation equip. 7 3.8%
9 Other 5 2.7%
10 Laundry area, wash house (laundry) 5 2.7%
11 All other areas 56 30.6%
3c What ignited it

What actually ignited the fire?

NFIRS Heat Source (HEAT_SOURC) — the physical thing that started it. Spark or ember from operating equipment, an open flame, smoking materials, or hot embers from a fireplace are the leading culprits nationwide. Here's the Patterson mix.

#Heat sourceCountShare 
1 Undetermined 106 57.9%
2 Arcing 16 8.7%
3 Heat source: other 12 6.6%
4 Heat from powered equipment, other 11 6.0%
5 Spark, ember or flame from operating equipment 9 4.9%
6 Radiated, conducted heat from operating equipment 7 3.8%
7 Hot ember or ash 6 3.3%
8 Hot or smoldering object, other 4 2.2%
9 Fireworks 4 2.2%
10 Incendiary device 2 1.1%
11 All other sources 6 3.3%
04 The biggest fires

8 fires · $250K in losses

Largest single-incident property losses reported by Patterson departments in 2025. These 8 fires alone account for 83% of the city's annual total.

# Property loss Type Severity Status
1 $100,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
2 $50,000 Road freight or transport vehicle fire Significant Investigated
3 $30,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
4 $20,000 Passenger vehicle fire Significant Investigated
5 $15,000 Passenger vehicle fire Significant Investigated
6 $15,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
7 $10,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
8 $10,000 Passenger vehicle fire Significant Investigated
05 How Patterson compares

Patterson vs California vs the nation

Per-capita rates let us compare apples to apples. Patterson sits below the national average for incidents per resident.

6.42
Incidents per 1,000 residents
Patterson
6.42
CA avg
5.32
US avg
7.48
1.22
Building fires per 1,000 residents
Patterson
1.22
CA avg
0.32
US avg
0.85
0
Civilian fire deaths per million
Patterson
0
CA avg
2.9
US avg
5.9
5c Wildfires nearby

Wildfires within 50 mi of Patterson

Top 25 wildfires (1992+) in the FPA-FOD ignitions database, scaled by acres. 668,549 acres burned in this 50-mile radius. Each dot is a fire — bigger dots burned more land.

50 mi radius
YearCauseAcresDistance 
2020 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 396,624 23.0 mi
2007 Recreation and ceremony 47,760 26.6 mi
2006 Equipment and vehicle use 34,271 8.7 mi
2003 Natural 30,170 38.0 mi
2006 Equipment and vehicle use 25,000 29.7 mi
1996 Equipment and vehicle use 16,820 45.0 mi
2018 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 12,300 12.0 mi
2009 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 12,200 23.7 mi
2018 Equipment and vehicle use 11,789 41.4 mi
1996 Natural 7,000 44.6 mi
2003 Equipment and vehicle use 6,804 14.7 mi
2005 Arson/incendiarism 6,744 28.2 mi
5d Top ZIPs

Where in Patterson do fires concentrate?

Top 7 ZIP codes by NFIRS incident count across 2021–2025. Each ZIP has its own fire profile — dive in for neighborhood-level context.

#ZIP5-yr incidents 
1 95363 787
2 95313 2
3 95360 2
4 95636 2
5 35363 1
6 95361 1
7 95387 1
5e Peer cities

Cities similar to Patterson

Six California cities with population within ±25% of Patterson. Useful comparison targets — same state, similar size, different fire profile.

07 Stay prepared

Before the next Red Flag day.

A 30-minute weekend can cut your home's exposure substantially. These four checklists are a good starting point.

About this data

Numbers reflect incidents reported by participating fire departments to the National Fire Incident Reporting System (NFIRS) Public Data Release for calendar year 2025. NFIRS is voluntary — about 23,000 of roughly 30,000 US fire departments report — so totals are a strong indicator, not a complete census. Per-capita comparisons use 2023 ACS population estimates. Wildland fire data complements NFIRS with NIFC and USFS perimeters. Active-fire counts come from a dated NIFC snapshot, not a live feed.