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2025 Annual Fire Report

Fires in Waterford, California

In 2025, fire departments serving Waterford responded to 45 fire and hazmat incidents — from cooking fires to gas leaks to a single $150K building blaze. Here's the full picture.

Updated Sep 27, 2026 Grade A Peak yr 2022 Stanislaus County 9,165 residents 0 reporting departments 243 5-yr
Total incidents
45
-15.1% vs 2024
Building fires
16
Residential 63% Other 37%
Property loss
$442K
$385K structure · $57K contents
Deaths & injuries
0 / 0
0 civilian deaths · 0 civ injuries · 0 firefighter injuries
01 The mix

What kinds of fires happen here?

Building fires lead by count. Building fires lead by dollars. Together the top five categories make up about 69% of all calls.

45
Total Incidents
Building fires 16 35.6%
Grass fire 7 15.6%
Unauthorized burning 4 8.9%
Brush, or brush and grass mixture fire 2 4.4%
Outside rubbish fire, other 2 4.4%
All other categories 14 31.1%
02 Seasonality

When do fires happen?

May peaks. Sep dips. Watch for the typical fall climb starting in October.

Jan 8
Feb 1
Mar 3
Apr 1
May 15
Jun 6
Jul 8
Aug 3
Sep 0
Oct 0
Nov 0
Dec 0
Fewer
More
2b Five-year trend

Year over year in Waterford

243 incidents 2021–2025. Peak year was 2022. $1.7M cumulative property loss.

YearIncidentsYoY 
2021 49 —
2022 62 +26.5%
2023 34 -45.2%
2024 53 +55.9%
2025 45 -15.1%
03 Cause of ignition

What sparks building fires?

For the 16 building fires Waterford departments responded to in 2025, here's how they were classified once investigators were finished.

Unintentional
15%
2
Cause undetermined
38%
5
Intentional / arson
0%
0
Equipment / heat source failure
0%
0
Under investigation
46%
6
Act of nature (lightning)
1%
0
3b Where fires start

Where do fires start in Waterford?

NFIRS Area of Origin (AREA_ORIG) for the 55 building fires investigators classified across 2021–2025. The room or location where ignition occurred — kitchens, bedrooms, exterior, vehicle areas — tells you where to focus prevention.

#Area of originCountShare 
1 Undetermined 30 54.5%
2 Cooking area, kitchen 3 5.5%
3 Engine area, running gear, wheel area 3 5.5%
4 Other 2 3.6%
5 Bedroom - < 5 persons; included are jail or prison 2 3.6%
6 Bathroom, checkroom, lavatory, locker room 2 3.6%
7 Cargo/trunk area - all vehicles 2 3.6%
8 Function area, other 1 1.8%
9 Processing/manufacturing area, workroom 1 1.8%
10 Storage area, other 1 1.8%
11 All other areas 8 14.5%
3c What ignited it

What actually ignited the fire?

NFIRS Heat Source (HEAT_SOURC) — the physical thing that started it. Spark or ember from operating equipment, an open flame, smoking materials, or hot embers from a fireplace are the leading culprits nationwide. Here's the Waterford mix.

#Heat sourceCountShare 
1 Undetermined 40 72.7%
2 Heat source: other 3 5.5%
3 Radiated, conducted heat from operating equipment 2 3.6%
4 Arcing 2 3.6%
5 Hot or smoldering object, other 2 3.6%
6 Heat from powered equipment, other 1 1.8%
7 Spark, ember or flame from operating equipment 1 1.8%
8 Hot ember or ash 1 1.8%
9 Cigarette 1 1.8%
10 Heat from undetermined smoking material 1 1.8%
11 All other sources 1 1.8%
04 The biggest fires

6 fires · $385K in losses

Largest single-incident property losses reported by Waterford departments in 2025. These 6 fires alone account for 100% of the city's annual total.

# Property loss Type Severity Status
1 $150,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
2 $100,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
3 $75,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
4 $40,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
5 $10,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
6 $10,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
05 How Waterford compares

Waterford vs California vs the nation

Per-capita rates let us compare apples to apples. Waterford sits below the national average for incidents per resident.

4.91
Incidents per 1,000 residents
Waterford
4.91
CA avg
5.32
US avg
7.48
1.75
Building fires per 1,000 residents
Waterford
1.75
CA avg
0.32
US avg
0.85
0
Civilian fire deaths per million
Waterford
0
CA avg
2.9
US avg
5.9
5c Wildfires nearby

Wildfires within 50 mi of Waterford

Top 25 wildfires (1992+) in the FPA-FOD ignitions database, scaled by acres. 1,164,170 acres burned in this 50-mile radius. Each dot is a fire — bigger dots burned more land.

50 mi radius
YearCauseAcresDistance 
2020 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 396,624 47.0 mi
2013 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 255,858 39.7 mi
2018 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 96,953 47.8 mi
2017 Firearms and explosives use 81,826 29.6 mi
2015 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 70,868 48.5 mi
2006 Equipment and vehicle use 34,271 33.3 mi
2008 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 34,091 41.8 mi
2006 Equipment and vehicle use 25,000 18.5 mi
1996 Natural 22,080 38.3 mi
1992 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 18,000 37.2 mi
2001 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 14,280 40.1 mi
2018 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 12,300 14.2 mi
5d Top ZIPs

Where in Waterford do fires concentrate?

Top 6 ZIP codes by NFIRS incident count across 2021–2025. Each ZIP has its own fire profile — dive in for neighborhood-level context.

#ZIP5-yr incidents 
1 95386 238
2 95323 1
3 95355 1
4 95361 1
5 95368 1
6 95385 1
5e Peer cities

Cities similar to Waterford

Six California cities with population within ±25% of Waterford. Useful comparison targets — same state, similar size, different fire profile.

07 Stay prepared

Before the next Red Flag day.

A 30-minute weekend can cut your home's exposure substantially. These four checklists are a good starting point.

About this data

Numbers reflect incidents reported by participating fire departments to the National Fire Incident Reporting System (NFIRS) Public Data Release for calendar year 2025. NFIRS is voluntary — about 23,000 of roughly 30,000 US fire departments report — so totals are a strong indicator, not a complete census. Per-capita comparisons use 2023 ACS population estimates. Wildland fire data complements NFIRS with NIFC and USFS perimeters. Active-fire counts come from a dated NIFC snapshot, not a live feed.