ZIP 22851 recorded 114 fire and hazmat incidents in 2025, 593 across 2021–2025. Primary county: Page County, VA. FEMA NRI rates wildfire risk here as Moderate.
593 incidents from 2021 through 2025 inside this ZIP.
| Year | Incidents | |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 110 | |
| 2022 | 121 | |
| 2023 | 143 | |
| 2024 | 105 | |
| 2025 | 114 |
Mar peaks. Nov dips. Aggregated across all 5 years inside this ZIP.
Top 5 NFIRS incident types for ZIP 22851 across 2021–2025.
| # | Incident type | Count | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Authorized controlled burning | 154 | 26.0% | |
| 2 | Unauthorized burning | 96 | 16.2% | |
| 3 | Power line down | 83 | 14.0% | |
| 4 | Building fires | 37 | 6.2% | |
| 5 | Aircraft standby | 33 | 5.6% |
For the 9 building fires reported here in 2025, here's how investigators classified ignition cause.
NFIRS Area of Origin for ZIP 22851 fires across 2021–2025.
| # | Area of origin | Count | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Undetermined | 12 | 18.8% | |
| 2 | Wildland, woods | 10 | 15.6% | |
| 3 | Engine area, running gear, wheel area | 9 | 14.1% | |
| 4 | Bedroom - < 5 persons; included are jail or prison | 4 | 6.2% | |
| 5 | Attic: vacant, crawl space above top story, cupola | 3 | 4.7% | |
| 6 | Multiple areas | 3 | 4.7% | |
| 7 | Substructure area or space, crawl space | 2 | 3.1% | |
| 8 | Ceiling & floor assembly, crawl space b/t stories | 2 | 3.1% | |
| 9 | All other areas | 19 | 29.7% |
NFIRS HEAT_SOURC code — the physical thing that started the fire.
| # | Heat source | Count | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Undetermined | 19 | 29.7% | |
| 2 | Heat from other open flame or smoking materials | 7 | 10.9% | |
| 3 | Heat from powered equipment, other | 6 | 9.4% | |
| 4 | Arcing | 6 | 9.4% | |
| 5 | Backfire from internal combustion engine | 5 | 7.8% | |
| 6 | Heat spread from another fire, other | 4 | 6.2% | |
| 7 | Radiated, conducted heat from operating equipment | 3 | 4.7% | |
| 8 | Cigarette | 3 | 4.7% | |
| 9 | All other sources | 11 | 17.2% |
Largest single-incident losses in ZIP 22851 across 2021–2025. These 8 fires alone account for 206% of the ZIP's 2025 reported total.
| # | Property loss | Type | Year | Severity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $325,000 | Building fires | 2025 | Major |
| 2 | $270,000 | Power line down | 2024 | Major |
| 3 | $250,000 | Off-road vehicle or heavy equipment fire | 2021 | Major |
| 4 | $150,000 | Building fires | 2022 | Significant |
| 5 | $150,000 | Building fires | 2022 | Significant |
| 6 | $150,000 | Fire, other | 2025 | Significant |
| 7 | $100,000 | Building fires | 2024 | Significant |
| 8 | $80,000 | Building fires | 2025 | Significant |
Some ZIPs span multiple cities. Ranked by 5-yr NFIRS incidents inside ZIP 22851.
| # | City | 5-yr incidents | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stanley | 582 | |
| 2 | Luray | 6 | |
| 3 | Shenandoah | 1 |
The figures above are historical. For today's air quality, fire-weather warnings, and active fires, go to the official sources.
NFIRS reports each fire incident with a 5-digit address ZIP. We aggregate those rows directly to produce ZIP-level totals — 593 incidents in this ZIP across 2021–2025. Building-fire breakdowns (Area of Origin, Heat Source, ignition cause) only count fires investigators classified beyond the basic incident report. Because NFIRS reporting is voluntary, totals are a strong indicator rather than a complete census.