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2025 Annual Fire Report

Fires in Merced, California

In 2025, fire departments serving Merced responded to 1,428 fire and hazmat incidents — from cooking fires to gas leaks to a single $1.4M building blaze. Here's the full picture.

Updated Sep 27, 2026 Grade C+ Peak yr 2021 Merced County 87,686 residents 0 reporting departments 6,656 5-yr
Total incidents
1,428
+4.1% vs 2024
Building fires
58
Residential 66% Other 34%
Property loss
$6.7M
$4.1M structure · $2.6M contents
Deaths & injuries
0 / 5
0 civilian deaths · 4 civ injuries · 1 firefighter injuries
01 The mix

What kinds of fires happen here?

Outside rubbish, trash or waste fire lead by count. Building fires lead by dollars. Together the top five categories make up about 66% of all calls.

1,428
Total Incidents
Outside rubbish, trash or waste fire 464 32.5%
Grass fire 158 11.1%
Unauthorized burning 137 9.6%
Dumpster or other outside trash receptacle fire 126 8.8%
Brush, or brush and grass mixture fire 60 4.2%
All other categories 483 33.8%
02 Seasonality

When do fires happen?

May peaks. Dec dips. Watch for the typical fall climb starting in October.

Jan 144
Feb 96
Mar 91
Apr 118
May 150
Jun 143
Jul 149
Aug 127
Sep 123
Oct 107
Nov 94
Dec 86
Fewer
More
2b Five-year trend

Year over year in Merced

6,656 incidents 2021–2025. Peak year was 2021. $21.0M cumulative property loss. 3 civilian deaths.

YearIncidentsYoY 
2021 1,445 —
2022 1,196 -17.2%
2023 1,215 +1.6%
2024 1,372 +12.9%
2025 1,428 +4.1%
03 Cause of ignition

What sparks building fires?

For the 58 building fires Merced departments responded to in 2025, here's how they were classified once investigators were finished.

Unintentional
22%
91
Cause undetermined
56%
237
Intentional / arson
13%
56
Equipment / heat source failure
4%
16
Under investigation
2%
8
Act of nature (lightning)
3%
0
3b Where fires start

Where do fires start in Merced?

NFIRS Area of Origin (AREA_ORIG) for the 2,235 building fires investigators classified across 2021–2025. The room or location where ignition occurred — kitchens, bedrooms, exterior, vehicle areas — tells you where to focus prevention.

#Area of originCountShare 
1 Open area - outside; included are farmland, field 488 21.8%
2 Highway, parking lot, street: on or near 430 19.2%
3 Undetermined 346 15.5%
4 Outside area, other 140 6.3%
5 Engine area, running gear, wheel area 129 5.8%
6 Railroad right of way: on or near 92 4.1%
7 Chute/container - trash, rubbish, waste 74 3.3%
8 Operator/passenger area of transportation equip. 60 2.7%
9 Courtyard, patio, porch, terrace 49 2.2%
10 Cooking area, kitchen 39 1.7%
11 All other areas 388 17.4%
3c What ignited it

What actually ignited the fire?

NFIRS Heat Source (HEAT_SOURC) — the physical thing that started it. Spark or ember from operating equipment, an open flame, smoking materials, or hot embers from a fireplace are the leading culprits nationwide. Here's the Merced mix.

#Heat sourceCountShare 
1 Undetermined 1,685 75.4%
2 Arcing 64 2.9%
3 Heat from direct flame, convection currents 54 2.4%
4 Fireworks 53 2.4%
5 Radiated, conducted heat from operating equipment 52 2.3%
6 Cigarette lighter 48 2.1%
7 Heat from powered equipment, other 32 1.4%
8 Hot ember or ash 32 1.4%
9 Spark, ember or flame from operating equipment 26 1.2%
10 Heat from other open flame or smoking materials 26 1.2%
11 All other sources 163 7.3%
04 The biggest fires

8 fires · $2.8M in losses

Largest single-incident property losses reported by Merced departments in 2025. These 8 fires alone account for 68% of the city's annual total.

# Property loss Type Severity Status
1 $1,393,856 Building fires Major Investigated
2 $360,678 Building fires Major Investigated
3 $209,407 Building fires Significant Investigated
4 $200,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
5 $200,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
6 $175,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
7 $150,000 Building fires Significant Investigated
8 $121,254 Building fires Significant Investigated
05 How Merced compares

Merced vs California vs the nation

Per-capita rates let us compare apples to apples. Merced sits above the national average for incidents per resident.

16.29
Incidents per 1,000 residents
Merced
16.29
CA avg
5.32
US avg
7.48
0.66
Building fires per 1,000 residents
Merced
0.66
CA avg
0.32
US avg
0.85
0
Civilian fire deaths per million
Merced
0
CA avg
2.9
US avg
5.9
5b Who gets hurt

Casualty demographics in Merced

136 fire-related casualties recorded in NFIRS Module 11 across the 2021–2025 window. Age, gender, and severity are coarse-binned — no individual identification possible.

AgeCount 
0-9 0
10-19 1
20-29 33
30-39 51
40-49 37
50-59 6
60-69 1
70-79 0
80+ 1
Civilian vs firefighter
Civilian 12 FF 124
Gender
M 130 F 6 Unk 0
Severity (1=minor → 5=fatal)
123
1
3
2
5
3
1
4
3
5
5c Wildfires nearby

Wildfires within 50 mi of Merced

Top 25 wildfires (1992+) in the FPA-FOD ignitions database, scaled by acres. 697,444 acres burned in this 50-mile radius. Each dot is a fire — bigger dots burned more land.

50 mi radius
YearCauseAcresDistance 
2013 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 255,858 44.0 mi
2018 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 96,953 40.5 mi
2017 Firearms and explosives use 81,826 26.0 mi
2006 Equipment and vehicle use 34,271 44.6 mi
2008 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 34,091 32.0 mi
2006 Equipment and vehicle use 25,000 10.1 mi
1996 Natural 22,080 45.2 mi
1996 Power generation/transmission/distribution 18,340 48.8 mi
1996 Equipment and vehicle use 16,820 30.4 mi
2017 Power generation/transmission/distribution 12,407 46.5 mi
2018 Missing data/not specified/undetermined 12,300 35.9 mi
2001 Arson/incendiarism 11,185 32.9 mi
5d Top ZIPs

Where in Merced do fires concentrate?

Top 8 ZIP codes by NFIRS incident count across 2021–2025. Each ZIP has its own fire profile — dive in for neighborhood-level context.

#ZIP5-yr incidents 
1 95340 2,689
2 95341 2,470
3 95348 1,491
4 95338 2
5 93610 1
6 95333 1
7 95343 1
8 95344 1
5e Peer cities

Cities similar to Merced

Six California cities with population within ±25% of Merced. Useful comparison targets — same state, similar size, different fire profile.

07 Stay prepared

Before the next Red Flag day.

A 30-minute weekend can cut your home's exposure substantially. These four checklists are a good starting point.

About this data

Numbers reflect incidents reported by participating fire departments to the National Fire Incident Reporting System (NFIRS) Public Data Release for calendar year 2025. NFIRS is voluntary — about 23,000 of roughly 30,000 US fire departments report — so totals are a strong indicator, not a complete census. Per-capita comparisons use 2023 ACS population estimates. Wildland fire data complements NFIRS with NIFC and USFS perimeters. Active-fire counts come from a dated NIFC snapshot, not a live feed.